Surfstat.australia: an online text in introductory Statistics

STATISTICAL INFERENCE

STATISTICAL CONTROL CHARTS

Introduction

Control chart techniques are sometimes referred to as Statistical Process Control (SPC) although the term now often is used to describe a broader range of statistical methods for quality improvement.

A control chart is essentially a time plot (or run chart) of observations with control limits added. The purpose of the control limits is to indicate when the variability of the process is so great that some special cause is likely to be operating. When a process observation exceeds the control limits a search for a special cause should be initiated.

Continuous quality improvement is more concerned with analytical studies than enumerative ones. It is important to know WHY a process is not performing to its capabilities; and when it is performing well, one should be able to confidently predict its future performance.

Fundamental Principles

There are a few fundamental principles, to do with statistical thinking, which underlie the construction and use of control charts:
  1. Variability is all around us. No two things in this world are exactly identical. Even two measurements of the same thing will differ if the measuring instrument is sufficiently precise.
  2. All processes have outputs, upon which measurements can be taken. Processes, then, must exhibit variability.
  3. Any process has an inherent level of natural variability. This may be small or large, acceptable or unacceptable, depending on the process. With sufficient data we may be able to set the natural limits of variability probabilistically; any observation falling outside these limits is a signal that something unusual is happening - we should investigate.
  4. A well behaved process may be expected to fluctuate randomly within its natural limits of variability. Any non-random pattern, such as a steady upward trend, is again an indication that something unusual is occurring - again, we should investigate.


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